Scientific Publications
Recent/Highlighted
Toward climate-smart rewilding: an integrated framework for biodiversity, climate change, and society
We propose a climate-smart rewilding framework that explicitly integrates biodiversity recovery with climate mitigation, climate adaptation, and socio-economic considerations. Using Europe as a case study, we map potential synergies and trade-offs among carbon sequestration, ecosystem resilience to climate change, wildlife-based tourism opportunities, and the risk of livestock predator conflict. We argue that this integrative framework provides a practical basis for identifying and assessing restoration strategies that deliver multiple benefits across regional and continental scales.
Towards a climate-resilient conservation network in Portugal
We have undertook an analysis at the terrestrial vertebrate species level on the areas likely to be occupied along time. This served us to undertake an analysis on the pathways that are expected to guarantee the more adaptive sucess of species. These pathways served us to suggest areas to expand current protected areas, and areas where to alocate new ones.
Publications
34) Stark, G; Weissgerber, M; Fernández, N; Quintero-Uribe, LC; Marek Giergiczny, M; Elisabeth S. Bakker, ES; Mols, B; Smith, AM; Winkel, G; Alagador, D; … Pereira, HM. 2026. Toward Climate-Smart Rewilding: An integrated framework for biodiversity, climate change, and society. One Earth, 101704 (doi: 10.1016/j.oneear.2026.101704)
33) Wang, H-H; Alagador, D. 2025. The critical challenge of nonstationarity in ecological modelling. Ecological Modelling (doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2025.111248).
32) Jung, M; Adams, V; Alagador, D; Álvarez-Romero, J; Araujo, MB; Arponen, A;…Visconti, P. 2025. An Interoperable and Standardized Protocol for Reporting Systematic Conservation Planning Projects. Conservation Science and Practice (doi: 10.1111/csp2.70097).
31) Araújo, MB; Alagador, D; Naimi, B; Neto; D; Rozenfeld, A. 2025. Towards a climate-resilient conservation network in Portugal. Biological Conservation: 308 (doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111249).
30) Araújo, MB; Alagador, D; Rocha de Sousa, M. 2024. Climate policy beyond ideological trenches. sustainability Science (doi: 10.1007/s11625-024-01597-0).
29) Jung, M; Adams, V; Alagador, D; Álvarez-Romero, J; Araujo, MB; Arponen, A;…Visconti, P. 2024. An Interoperable and Standardized Protocol for Reporting Systematic Conservation Planning Projects. OSF Preprints (doi: 10.31219/osf.io/9vrxf).
28) Araújo, M.B.; Alagador, D. 2024. Expanding European protected areas through rewilding. Current Biology (doi: 10.1016/j.cub.2024.07.045).
27) Alagador, D. 2024. Dependence of Europe's most threatened mammals on movement to adapt to climate change. Conservation Biology, e14315 (doi: 10.1111/cobi.14315).
26) González-Trujillo, J.D.; Alagador, D.; Gonzalez-Del_Pliego, P.; Araújo, M.B. 2024. Exposure of protected areas in Central America to extreme weather events. Conservation Biology, e14251 (doi: 10.1111/cobi.14251).
25) Jung, M.; Alagador, D.; Chapman, M.; Hermoso, V.; Kujala, H.; O'Connor, L.;Schinegger,R.; Verburg, P.; Visconti, P. 2023. An Assessment of the State of Conservation Planning in Europe. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B (doi:10.1098/rstb.2023.0015).
24) Alagador, D. 2022. Effective conservation planning of Iberian amphibians based on a regionalization of climate driven range shifts. Conservation Biology, e14026 (doi: 10.1111/cobi.14026)
23) Alagador, D.; Cerdeira, J.O. 2022. Operations Research applicability in spatial conservation planning. Journal of Environmental Managament, 315, 115172 (doi: 1016/j.jenvman.2022.115172)
22) Alagador, D.; Cerdeira, J.O. Operations Research and cost-effective spatial conservation planning: data, models, tools and future directions. Preprints 2021, 2021120035 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202112.0035.v1)
21) Dupont-Doaré, C; Alagador, D. 2021. Overlooked effects of temporal resolution choice on climate-proof spatial conservation plans for biodiversity. Biological Conservation, 263: 109330 (doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109330)
20) Chacón-Prieto, F; Rodríguez-Soto, C; Cuervo-Robayo, AP; Monroy, JCC; Alagador, D. 2021. Protected areas in Central Mexico - are they fit in promoting species persistence under climate and land use changes? Biological Conservation 260: 109186 (doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109186)
19) Alagador D; Cerdeira JO. 2020. Revisiting the minimum set cover, the maximal coverage models and a maximum benefit area selection model to make climate-change-concerned conservation plans effective. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 11: 1325-1337 (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.13455)
18) Cerdeira, JO; Monteiro-Henriques, T; Martins, MJ; Silva, PC; Alagador, D; Franco, AMA; Campagmolo, ML; Arsénio, P; Aguiar, F; Cabeza, M. 2019. Revisiting niche fundamentals with Tukey depth. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 9: 2349-2361 (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.13074)
17) Herrera, J; Alagador, D; Salgueiro, P; Mira, A. 2018. A distribution-oriented approach to support landscape connectivity for ecologically distinct bird species. Plos One (doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194848)
16) Alagador, D; Cerdeira, JO. 2018. A quantitative analysis on the effects of critical factors limiting the effectiveness of species conservation in future-time. Ecology and Evolution, 8: 3457-3467 (doi: 10.1002/ece3.3788)
15) Buchadas, A; Vaz, AS; Honrado, JP; Alagador, D; Bastos, R; Cabral, JA; Santos, M; Vicente, JR. 2017. Dynamic modelling in research and management of biological invasions. Journal of Environmental Management, 196: 594-606 (doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.03.060)
14) Alagador, D & Cerdeira, JO. 2017. Meeting species persistence targets under climate change: a spatially-explicit conservation planning model. Diversity and Distributions, 23: 703-713 (doi: 10.1111/ddi.12562)
13) Vicente, JR; Alagador, D; Guerra, C; Alonso, JM; Kueffer, C; Vaz, AS; Fernandes, RF; Cabral, JA; Araújo, MB, Honrado, JP. 2016. Effective and cost-efficient monitoring of biological invasions under global change: A model-based framework. Journal of Applied Ecology, 53: 1317:1329 (doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.12631)
12) Alagador, D; Cerdeira, JO; Araújo, MB. 2016. Climate change, species range shifts and dispersal corridors: a portfolio of spatial conservation models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 7: 853–866 (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12524)
11) Cerdeira, JO; Monteiro-Henriques, T; Martins, MJ; Silva; P; Alagador, D & Franco, A. 2014. Mathematical contributions to link biota with environment. Journal of Vegetation Science, 25: 1148–1153 (doi: 10.1111/jvs.12188)
10) Alagador, D; Cerdeira, JO; Araújo, MB. 2014. Shifting protected areas: scheduling spatial priorities under climate change. Journal of Applied Ecology, 51: 703-713 (doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.12230)
9) Shoo, LP; Hoffmann, AA; Garnett, S.; Pressey, RL; Williams, YM; Taylor, M; Falconi, L; Yates, CJ; Scott, JK; Alagador, D; Williams, SE. 2013. Making decisions to conserve species under climate change. Climatic Change, 119: 239-246 (doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0699-2)
8) Brás, R; Cerdeira, JO; Alagador, D & Araújo, MB. 2013. Linking habitats for multiple species. Environmental Modelling and Software, 40: 336-339 (doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.08.001)
7) Oliveira, G; Araújo, MB; Rangel, TFLVB; Alagador, D; Diniz-Filho, JAF. 2012. Conserving the Brazilian semiarid (Caatinga) biome under climate change. Biodiversity and Conservation, 21: 2913–2926 (doi: 10.1007/s10531-012-0346-7)
6) Alagador, D; Triviño, M; Cerdeira, JO; Brás, R; Cabeza, M & Araújo, MB. 2012. Linking like with like: optimising connectivity between environmentally-similar habitats. Landscape Ecology, 27 (2): 291-301 (doi: 10.1007/s10980-012-9704-9)
5) Araújo, MB; Alagador, D; Cabeza, M; Nogués-Bravo, D & Thuiller, W. 2011. Climate change threatens European conservation areas. Ecology Letters, 14: 484-492 (doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01610.x)
4) Alagador, D; Martins, MJ; Cerdeira, JO; Brás, R; Cabeza, M & Araújo, MB. 2011. A probability-based approach to match species with reserves when data are at different resolutions. Biological Conservation, 144 (2): 811-820 (doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2010.11.011)
3) Alagador, D & Cerdeira, JO. 2007. Designing spatially-explicit ecological reserve networks in the presence of mandatory sites. Biological Conservation, 137: 254-262 (doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2007.02.008)
2) Alagador, D & Costa, PM. 2003. Distribution patterns of deep-sea benthopelagic fish off Algarve coast, Portugal. Boletín del Instituto Español de Oceanografía, 19 (1-4): 407-417. (link)
1) Alagador, D & Murta, A. 2002. A comparison of staining techniques to improve precision of age estimations from fish otoliths. Journal of Fish Biology, 61 (3): 839-841 (doi: 10.1111/j.1095-8649.2002.tb00915.x)